Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2.363484 2.581223 2.814510 3.083791 3.386969 3.718814 4.110948
2025-11-23 2.042279 2.336656 2.671613 3.083718 3.580875 4.166111 4.914347
2025-11-30 1.878658 2.224354 2.635739 3.167145 3.843872 4.688576 5.841617
2025-12-07 1.714423 2.083246 2.537455 3.146870 3.957041 5.017634 6.546587
2025-12-14 1.578460 1.959313 2.441820 3.110160 4.031880 5.289491 7.192571
2025-12-21 1.435979 1.812734 2.300938 2.994757 3.980734 5.373027 7.568129
2025-12-28 1.360493 1.746690 2.258638 3.005488 4.100179 5.702575 8.341826
2026-01-04 1.303647 1.700318 2.237496 3.040868 4.253949 6.093012 9.256507
2026-01-11 1.255242 1.661293 2.222221 3.080961 4.414892 6.506822 10.262279
2026-01-18 1.209869 1.622894 2.204030 3.113309 4.563953 6.913707 11.310816
2026-01-25 1.161479 1.576758 2.170756 3.118644 4.668191 7.254345 12.286456
2026-02-01 1.098436 1.505555 2.095634 3.052418 4.647982 7.377593 12.865662
2026-02-08 1.046582 1.449022 2.040511 3.015973 4.677757 7.597711 13.683285
2026-02-15 1.004679 1.405114 2.001959 3.003271 4.746626 7.895590 14.710159
2026-02-22 0.987594 1.397550 2.018676 3.081985 4.981848 8.529437 16.569003
2026-03-01 0.949638 1.355813 1.978894 3.062122 5.036571 8.820164 17.713895
2026-03-08 0.911171 1.311339 1.932131 3.026631 5.058447 9.046486 18.748499
2026-03-15 0.859623 1.244037 1.845063 2.915155 4.927386 8.944739 18.962136
2026-03-22 0.836123 1.220155 1.827681 2.925522 5.030792 9.345194 20.524351
2026-03-29 0.818704 1.205115 1.823929 2.959698 5.183259 9.869032 22.527062
2026-04-05 0.803104 1.192218 1.822905 2.998423 5.347843 10.440251 24.798067
2026-04-12 0.786987 1.177684 1.818194 3.029664 5.499482 11.001335 27.183636
2026-04-19 0.767235 1.156242 1.800427 3.034817 5.596426 11.445548 29.330646